Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.950621 1.072424 1.205459 1.361802 1.540831 1.739809 1.978227
2024-12-22 0.757310 0.919605 1.111782 1.357196 1.663790 2.036140 2.525589
2024-12-29 0.658595 0.839103 1.064498 1.368712 1.771767 2.291875 3.020975
2025-01-05 0.576668 0.763561 1.007119 1.350975 1.829066 2.477817 3.437672
2025-01-12 0.516761 0.707131 0.964488 1.342251 1.890056 2.667027 3.873043
2025-01-19 0.453073 0.637439 0.894539 1.284665 1.871211 2.735579 4.134570
2025-01-26 0.423105 0.611435 0.882073 1.306236 1.966936 2.978045 4.684068
2025-02-02 0.398344 0.590037 0.873264 1.330708 2.067246 3.235211 5.285285
2025-02-09 0.373162 0.565309 0.856506 1.339998 2.142679 3.458317 5.854635
2025-02-16 0.350313 0.541908 0.839217 1.345802 2.211425 3.675363 6.437576
2025-02-23 0.334076 0.527351 0.834231 1.370487 2.313067 3.957106 7.169653
2025-03-02 0.307787 0.494328 0.796394 1.335831 2.307448 4.048191 7.555454
2025-03-09 0.295228 0.483379 0.794812 1.364691 2.419780 4.368345 8.433702
2025-03-16 0.275775 0.459321 0.769129 1.348520 2.448078 4.535227 9.030001
2025-03-23 0.263049 0.445720 0.760177 1.361355 2.531265 4.814962 9.895723
2025-03-30 0.246723 0.424530 0.736058 1.343556 2.552889 4.974265 10.523861
2025-04-06 0.233205 0.407336 0.717729 1.334905 2.591289 5.170938 11.260909
2025-04-13 0.214095 0.378657 0.676243 1.277664 2.525185 5.141542 11.475114
2025-04-20 0.207041 0.371707 0.674672 1.299105 2.624136 5.475606 12.593218
2025-04-27 0.200811 0.365831 0.674618 1.323429 2.731366 5.839521 13.838228
2025-05-04 0.193172 0.356721 0.667602 1.332664 2.806460 6.139038 14.966542
2025-05-11 0.185656 0.347331 0.659324 1.338432 2.874210 6.428862 16.113943
2025-05-18 0.180659 0.342540 0.659831 1.362968 2.986960 6.838314 17.646794